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27 Sep 2026

Week 3 Against The Spread: Where the Confidence Went

Confidence picks are locked for Week 3, and the slate is set.

Seattle Seahawks (-6.5) drew the pool's biggest vote of confidence against Washington Commanders, taking 100% of the points staked on that matchup.

New England Patriots (+3) found some believers, taking 41% of the confidence staked in their game against Jacksonville Jaguars as the underdog.

Nobody could quite agree on Indianapolis Colts (+2.5) vs Houston Texans — confidence points split roughly 52% / 48%.

A full house for some: 100% of players ranked all 8 games rather than leaving points on the table.

Game by Game

Here's how confidence points broke down across the full slate:

  • Seattle Seahawks (-6.5) vs Washington Commanders — 100% of confidence points
  • Buffalo Bills (-7) vs Los Angeles Chargers — 96% of confidence points
  • Carolina Panthers (-2.5) vs Cleveland Browns — 100% of confidence points
  • Detroit Lions (-6.5) vs New York Jets — 99% of confidence points
  • Kansas City Chiefs (-11.5) vs Miami Dolphins — 96% of confidence points
  • Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) vs Pittsburgh Steelers — 78% of confidence points
  • Indianapolis Colts (+2.5) vs Houston Texans — 52% of confidence points
  • Los Angeles Rams (-2.5) vs Denver Broncos — 91% of confidence points
  • San Francisco 49ers (-8.5) vs Arizona Cardinals — 96% of confidence points
  • Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) vs Chicago Bears — 98% of confidence points
  • Minnesota Vikings (-1.5) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers — 94% of confidence points
  • Tennessee Titans (+6.5) vs New York Giants — 100% of confidence points
  • Las Vegas Raiders (+3.5) vs New Orleans Saints — 56% of confidence points
  • Green Bay Packers (-6.5) vs Atlanta Falcons — 92% of confidence points
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) vs New England Patriots — 59% of confidence points
  • Dallas Cowboys (+3) vs Baltimore Ravens — 63% of confidence points

Grading follows once the games wrap up — check the standings once results are final.

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